Special Report:Global Financial Crisis
By You Nuo
BEIJING, Feb. 23 -- For bystanders, debates in the
West on how to fix its financial industry's problems smack of those in the final
days of the former Soviet Union, on how to engineer its systematic shift.
The old debates were about how to transform a
bureaucratically controlled but failing economy to a new economy flourishing
with plenty of private enterprize and abundant supplies.
Unfortunately, all people could hear were just plans
- all given as the best philosophy, the best strategy, and the roadmap for the
best future. Few pointed out back then that such plans were, in their ultimate
logic, attempts to create a market economy with a planned-economy approach.
The fact is that if no room and no time are budgeted
for things that have not been planned for - from new ideas to new products to
new ways to break the rules and therefore new regulations - no market economy
can exist.
Nowadays, people sitting on an increasingly
contaminated pile of assets are making lots of debates, too. Some are
ideologically charged, such as whether the word nationalization should remain a
taboo, and whether the government can do things better than private
institutions.
Some dwell on impossible details, such as how to
calculate and price the bad assets when nobody is sure how many of them there
are (and chance is they may still keep piling up), and how much to pay for
someone - if ever there would be anyone - to move the bad assets away.
Debates all have their interesting points, of course.
But as a whole, they can also reflect a society's leadership and readiness for
action. The reality is that people are slow to adapt when things change - even
if part of the change is the consequence of their own doings.
Given a moral commitment, the more effective way to
start a society-wide reform is always to avoid, rather than to decide on, any
given model, or any would-be comprehensive solution package.
From time to time, an economy does need the
government's power to protect its experiments. There was in fact plenty of
government protection (or leniency, or lack of regulation) for the much hyped
financial innovations in the recent past, although they fared miserably in the
end.
If that part of the financial institution is sick,
and is still in the infectious stage, it should be duly replaced by something
healthy. At least some new experiment should start.
Many economists have concurred that the global financial
system, first of all that of the United States, and including every major
country's, is not going to remain the same after this crisis. By logic, that
would mean a time of not just new international partnerships and new
regulations, but new institutions and new business practices as well.
It is hard to understand - since the government's
role is inseparable from economy, and since the world will need many new
institutions in the next years anyway - why Americans are still hesitating about
an institutional experiment, be it a new bank, a new fund, or a new layer of
market.
I tend to believe that lenders from all over the
world would be more encouraged by seeing something like that (a real thing, I
mean, not just a plan) rather than seeing their credit being flushed down the
expensively decorated toilet from the executive offices of the dangerously sick
old financial institutions.
When talking about infectious diseases, all Chinese
can remember what happened in 2003, during the breakout of SARS (caused by a
previously unknown killer virus).
When the civilian hospitals were almost crushed by
the influx of patients, the army's medical troops were mobilized to look after
the victims in a massive temporary in-patient hospital built in Beijing suburbs,
modeled on wartime treatment center for frontline casualties.
Nobody was saying that the military setup would
remain permanent, nor that the army medical staff were superior to the civilian
doctors. But they were up to the task of isolating the problem.
In the United States, as the center of the world economic
crisis, it is hard to think how the problem that is still growing and
threatening more and more healthy businesses could be effectively isolated
without having an institutional substitution.
(Source: China Daily)
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